Which Fantasy Running Backs Give the Best Risk Reward Ratio – LeSean McCoy and Darren McFadden
Until Houston Texan Arian Foster's injury and Tennessee Titan Chris Johnson's holdout, both were considered Top Five Fantasy Running Backs, with a typical list as follows:
1. Adrian Peterson
2. Arian Foster
3. Chris Johnson
4. Ray Rice
5. Michael Turner
The next five from the conventional wisdom community are equally predictable:
6. Jamaal Charles
7. Rashard Mendenhall
8. Maurice Jones-Drew
9. LeSean McCoy
10. Frank Gore
Picking according to conventional wisdom is a big bore. The way to win big is to take a big risk, and perhaps go down in flames. If all of the top five were available on your draft board, and it was time to draft a RB, then Adrian Peterson would be the conventional take, but wouldn't you rather take a bigger risk for a bigger potential reward? Everyone will take Adrian Peterson as a number one, and if he has a bad year or is injured, then everyone is out of luck.
LeSean McCoy or the Philadelphia Eagles is looking at a breakout year. Opponents will have DE's, LB's or Safety's shadowing Michael Vick, which is sure to open up running lanes for McCoy. Also, a major way to get to Vick is to get pressure around the edge. Vick will have problems getting passes away, and this will lead to more running for McCoy. Big risk, but big reward if he pans out.
The Oakland Raiders will be running and running and running as a set up to lot's of play-action passing. Darren McFadden will be operating as an old-fashioned single running back, and he will put up yards upon yards upon yards. And with 6 games in the AFC West (a.k.a. the No Defense Division), he should put up some decent numbers.
With RB's anyone can get hurt, and anyone can see reduced playing time if their team's second back shows some promise. Fantasy RB, like the position itself, is very risky. But other than Adrian Peterson of the Minnesota Vikings, are there RB's you can really rely on? Is Ray Rice of the Baltimore Ravens really that much better than LeSean McCoy? And, is Maurice Jones-Drew really going to deliver more than Darren McFadden. I don't know, but I repeat: the higher the risk, the higher reward.
If you get stuck without one of the top five available RB's, give LeSean McCoy and Darren McFadden somewhat more than a passing thought.